THE EFFECTS OF URANIUM PRICE FLUCTUATIONS ON PRODUCTION, EXPLORATION EXPENDITURES AND RESERVES: VAR APPROACH - AMURE-Centre de droit et d'économie de la mer Accéder directement au contenu
Article Dans Une Revue Energy Studies Review Année : 2012

THE EFFECTS OF URANIUM PRICE FLUCTUATIONS ON PRODUCTION, EXPLORATION EXPENDITURES AND RESERVES: VAR APPROACH

Résumé

The aim of this paper is to empirically analyse the effects of uranium price fluctuations, i.e. increase vs decrease, on uranium production, uranium exploration expenditures and uranium reserves. We apply a Vector Autoregression (VAR) approach which allows for both symmetric and asymmetric model specifications to simulate impulse-response functions (IRFs) and derive the forecasting error variance decomposition (VD). Results give evidence that a uranium price increase induces an exploration expenditures increase and, to a lesser extent, a production increase. In contrast, no significant effect of uranium price fluctuations on uranium reserves can be supported. Results also give evidence of the presence of asymmetric aspects in the response of uranium exploration expenditures and uranium production to uranium price fluctuations. In fact, uranium exploration expenditures and uranium production seem to be more sensitive to uranium price increases than to uranium price decreases.
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Dates et versions

hal-00764919 , version 1 (13-12-2012)

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  • HAL Id : hal-00764919 , version 1

Citer

Sondès Kahouli. THE EFFECTS OF URANIUM PRICE FLUCTUATIONS ON PRODUCTION, EXPLORATION EXPENDITURES AND RESERVES: VAR APPROACH. Energy Studies Review, 2012, 19 (1), pp.Article 3. ⟨hal-00764919⟩
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